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Tilray secures new cannabis cultivation license in Germany: Is it time to buy TLRY?

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Tilray Brands Inc (NASDAQ: TLRY) has made a significant stride in its European operations by securing a new cannabis cultivation license in Germany. 

This development, under the country’s new Cannabis Act (MedCanG), is set to substantially boost the production capacity of Tilray’s Aphria RX GmbH facility in Berlin. 

This news comes at a crucial time for the New York-based firm, which has seen its stock decline by 35% since early April.

What the new license means for Tilray stock

The new license is expected to increase Tilray’s production of medical cannabis by up to fivefold, according to the company’s press release on Monday. 

This expansion is a pivotal move for Tilray, potentially aiding in the recovery of its stock. The license also allows Tilray to cultivate and produce up to 31 approved strains of cannabis, a significant increase from the previous limit of three strains. 

This will not only enhance the genetic diversity of Tilray’s products but also expand its product range in Germany’s medical cannabis market.

Denise Faltischek, Tilray’s Chief Strategy Officer, highlighted the importance of the new license, stating it will enable “greater access to some of the highest quality medical cannabis produced in Germany.” 

This development underscores Tilray’s commitment to expanding its footprint in the European market and positions the company to capitalize on Germany’s growing medical cannabis industry.

Positive market response and strategic importance

Investors have responded positively to the news, with Tilray’s stock rising approximately 3% at the time of writing on Monday. 

This uptick reflects investor confidence in the company’s strategic moves to strengthen its presence in Europe and enhance its production capabilities.

The new license comes at a critical juncture for Tilray, as the company is set to report its second-quarter earnings on July 29th. 

The timing of this announcement could provide a much-needed boost in investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report. In 2019, the German Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices (BfArM) granted Aphria RX the most comprehensive permit for the cultivation of medical cannabis. 

The new Cannabis Act has significantly increased the use of medical cannabis in Germany, and Tilray is now well-positioned to fully capitalize on this market opportunity with its new license.

Financial outlook and market expectations

Tilray’s recent financial performance has been mixed. The company broke even on a per-share basis in the fourth quarter of 2023 but is expected to report a loss of 2 cents per share in the upcoming fourth quarter.

Investors will be closely watching for updates on Tilray’s outlook for free cash flow, which management previously indicated is unlikely to turn positive in 2024.

Earlier in July, analysts at Zuanic & Associates assumed coverage of Tilray stock with a “neutral” rating.

They cited the company’s potential to benefit from regulatory updates in overseas medical markets as a key factor. This new license in Germany could be a catalyst for Tilray to leverage these regulatory changes and improve its financial performance.

Tilray’s acquisition of a new cannabis cultivation license in Germany marks a significant step in the company’s strategic expansion in Europe. 

The anticipated increase in production capacity and product diversity positions Tilray to capitalize on Germany’s growing medical cannabis market. 

As the company prepares to report its second-quarter earnings, this development could help restore investor confidence and pave the way for future growth.

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